Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.053008 0.062503 0.073129 0.085892 0.100796 0.117642 0.138119
2025-06-22 0.037723 0.049792 0.064807 0.084817 0.110740 0.143146 0.186695
2025-06-29 0.028497 0.041078 0.058072 0.082614 0.117049 0.163538 0.230956
2025-07-06 0.022318 0.034627 0.052431 0.079912 0.121091 0.180302 0.271678
2025-07-13 0.019039 0.031472 0.050546 0.081713 0.131104 0.206028 0.327896
2025-07-20 0.016290 0.028513 0.048282 0.082279 0.138921 0.229032 0.382606
2025-07-27 0.014151 0.026102 0.046392 0.082947 0.146683 0.252551 0.440747
2025-08-03 0.012510 0.024226 0.045026 0.084148 0.155274 0.278185 0.505272
2025-08-10 0.011347 0.022991 0.044544 0.086730 0.166452 0.309330 0.582844
2025-08-17 0.009650 0.020443 0.041254 0.083614 0.166744 0.321118 0.627014
2025-08-24 0.008544 0.018873 0.039564 0.083243 0.172033 0.342444 0.691087
2025-08-31 0.007521 0.017298 0.037618 0.082045 0.175454 0.360481 0.750769
2025-09-07 0.006903 0.016515 0.037223 0.084068 0.185837 0.393677 0.845214
2025-09-14 0.006104 0.015194 0.035496 0.083021 0.189703 0.414319 0.916860
2025-09-21 0.005335 0.013807 0.033411 0.080865 0.190846 0.429390 0.978574
2025-09-28 0.004642 0.012481 0.031258 0.078219 0.190495 0.441141 1.034404
2025-10-05 0.004306 0.011993 0.031000 0.079982 0.200476 0.476650 1.147084
2025-10-12 0.003939 0.011359 0.030290 0.080537 0.207653 0.506632 1.250629
2025-10-19 0.003618 0.010790 0.029658 0.081191 0.215139 0.538157 1.361412
2025-10-26 0.003354 0.010336 0.029253 0.082367 0.224077 0.574118 1.486955
2025-11-02 0.003172 0.010086 0.029354 0.084897 0.236814 0.620723 1.643916
2025-11-09 0.002789 0.009173 0.027502 0.081844 0.234453 0.629560 1.707176
2025-11-16 0.002548 0.008646 0.026657 0.081482 0.239299 0.657243 1.821962